So, here we are in Part 2 of this case study in irregular competition, a case study that focuses on Change.org. If you haven’t read Part 1 and you wish to do so before proceeding on with this second part, then please click here to go to “Change.org Is a Formidable Irregular Competitor – Part 1.”
In Part 1, we left off with the Findings, Corporate Status. In today’s post we’ll pick up with the research findings and take a look at some of the web traffic factors of Change.org.
Findings
Traffic
Change.org is no slouch when it comes to attracting traffic on the Internet. Let’s see what Alexa.com, one of the major Internet traffic trackers and a unit of Amazon.com, says about Change.org.
Alexa.com
Per Alexa.com, accessed on January 29, 2010, based on traffic Change.org was ranked as the 16,464th most popular site on the Internet. You can check their ranking today by clicking here. Now, this ranking of 16,464 might not seem very impressive at first blush. But, I can tell you that this level of traffic ranking is very impressive. Here’s why.
Alexa.com tracks approximately 20 million websites. Number 20 million would be the least trafficked website that Alexa.com tracks, while number 1 would be the most popular. (On the date that I checked this, Google.com was the number 1 site.) This ranking of 16,464th is a global ranking. Alexa.com showed that the ranking for United States traffic is 4,350. This is especially important since most of the social issues with which Change.org deals are American issues. With Change.org being the 4,350th most popular website in the United States, it’s plain to see that many Americans are receiving the Change.org message.
Okay, traffic rankings are fine. But what do these rankings translate to in terms of the numbers of visitors that actually go to the site? Alexa.com doesn’t provide much in terms of identifying actual numbers, but Compete.com does. So, let’s go over there.
Compete.com
On the same date as shown above, I went over to Compete.com to learn about Change.org’s traffic level. You can take a look at the current Change.org status by clicking here. On the date that I examined it, Compete.com showed that in 2009 Change.org averaged around 300,000 unique visitors per month. Check the Compete.com graph below, which is as of January 29, 2010.
This graph represents unique visitors, not “hits.” So, even though their traffic is relatively flat for the period shown (except for that blip up in January 2009), it’s plain to see that Change.org does very nicely in terms of the numbers of people who visit the site every month. That means that every month well over a quarter of a million people are seeing the social change, and anti-corporate, messages that are being sent via Change.org.
Where’s all this traffic coming from? Well, Alexa.com says that Change.org has 2,321 sites linking in. This is an astounding number that definitely contributes to that unique visitor trend you see in the graph above. But I think a more significant contributor to Change.org’s traffic is referrals from the social web. Indeed. Compete.com, on the date I visited, showed that approximately 28% of Change.org’s referrals were from Facebook.com. This is a considerable percentage of their referral traffic, and may account for much of those 2,321 inbound links reported by Alexa. com. So, it would appear that the social media program of Change.org contributes heavily to their activist efforts. Let’s take a look at that social media program.
Social Media Program
Here we’re going to take a focused look at Change.org’s social media program. You and I are going to concentrate today only on their Facebook and Twitter efforts. They do have other areas of the social web in which they are active and I may come back to those areas in a future post. But because Change.org’s social media effort is so extensive, for now, I would just like to concentrate on their Facebook and Twitter initiatives.
On the date examined, January 29, 2010, the Change.org Facebook main fan page contained about 4,000 fans. This is a respectable amount, but it is not overly impressive when you consider the amount of traffic that they have going to the Change.org site every month. Yet, the Change.org Facebook blog effort more than makes up for any seeming deficiency in fan levels on the main Facebook page. Let’s take a look at the fan blogs they have on Facebook and also at their individual Facebook blog fan numbers.
| Name of Facebook Blog | Number of fans |
| Global Warming | 981 |
| Criminal Justice | 773 |
| Animal Rights | 5819 |
| Gay Rights | 6700 |
| Education | 326 |
| Women's Rights | 3202 |
| End Homelessness | 1427 |
| Social Entrepreneurship | 1848 |
| Universal Health Care | 1321 |
| Humanitarian Relief | 228 |
| Immigrant Rights | 564 |
| End Human Trafficking | 1443 |
| Global Health | 225 |
| Poverty in America | 275 |
| Sustainable Food | 1995 |
| Job for Change | 258 |
| Total Number of Blog Fans | 27,385 |
A number of over 27,000 Facebook blog participants, as of January 29, 2010, is quite impressive and most likely contributes to those heavy unique visitor numbers we saw above. Of course, it could be that some of the 4,000 Facebook primary page fans participate in more than one blog, making the blog fan numbers appear larger. Yet, it is clear that with a blog fan number of over 27,000, the Change.org message has great “legs” and propagation potential.
A random sampling of the fans that I observed in the blog pages, and on the main fan page, shows than most are individuals and not groups. So, this means that Change.org is not necessarily “preaching to the choir.” A high proportion of fans being other groups, similar in agenda to that of the social causes that Change.org promotes, would certainly indicate that their audience characteristics are limited. But with individuals comprising most of the audience, we cannot say that the audience is necessarily skewed.
And with a “Take Action” tab prominently displayed on their Facebook fan pages, any of the many blog participants can make an easy trip to that “Take Action” area where they will find at least three choices for petition participation. Change.org has many more than three petitions active on their main website at any given time. So, on their Facebook Take Action page, they have displayed a convenient link which when clicked will take the Facebook user to the Take Action area of the Change.org website. There the user will be greeted with a full menu of petitions. The visitor merely needs to enter in some identification info and press submit. There are many other features that Change.org deftly employs on their Facebook fan page, almost all of which will further their activist campaigns, but I’m rapidly approaching my self-imposed 1500 word limitation for blog posts. I’ve more to say in other areas, so we will need to move on. Let’s move to Change.org’s Twitter use.
Their Twitter main profile page shows, on January 29, 2010, a Twitter following of almost 10,500. This number is nothing to be “sneezed at.” There is a lot of controversy on the level of Twitter followers. The arguments revolve around quality or quantity of followers. Of course, just accumulating followers for the sake of inflating your Twitter following number may not increase the power of your message. But a high Twitter number certainly doesn’t decrease the power either. Although this Twitter following is not considered extremely high, it is a decent level and indicates that the following of Change.org on Twitter can help increase the efficacy of Change.org’s message. This number of 10,500 may also help contribute to their petition effort. As new petitions are launched on the main Change.org site, tweets may be launched, automatically, driving traffic to the site for petition participation, signature, and completion.
As I alluded to above, there is so much that can be said about Change.org’s social media program. I’ve barely scratched the surface. I could probably write a book about how this particular irregular competitor exerts force against various business efforts. Perhaps I will. But right now, because I’m approaching my own words per post limitation, I’m going to wrap up this case study and move on to the Discussion and Conclusion section.
Discussion and Conclusion
Overall, this is one very high-powered irregular competitor. They are a very adept activist organization and they make use of their digital tools, as we saw above, in an effective manner.
If indeed Change.org is a for-profit corporation, which they certainly seem to be as shown by the evidence in Part 1 of this case study, it certainly makes one wonder why they use the dot org upper level domain name in both their corporate name and in their URL. There is no prohibition in for-profit companies using the dot org upper domain level name. It’s just that it’s not customary for this to be done. The dot org designation is usually reserved for the non-profit organization. Of course, I have my own theory as to why they use the dot org upper level domain name. A theory about which I will leave you to ponder. You may have your own theory as well.
Their presumed status as a for-profit company, as explored in Part 1 of this case study, if true, is quite unusual for an activist group. This would make Change.org a new breed of activist. They are a new breed of activist not only for their ability to combine editorial content with activist initiatives, but they would also be classified as a new breed of activist because of their apparent for-profit status. And this presumed status combined with Change.org’s excellent use of digital technology, as we have seen here in Part 2, makes them a formidable irregular competitor.
In Part 1, I said I would discuss why their for-profit status would be important. Here it is.
The fact that they are a Delaware corporation (remember from Part 1 that they switched to become a Delaware corporation in 2006), and if they are indeed a for-profit company, affords them certain state income tax advantages not available to corporations domiciled in other states. This tax advantage gives Delaware corporations comparatively more net income with which to work. Perhaps that’s why they made the corporate registration switch from California to Delaware in 2006? And in the case of Change.org, such a status would simply give them relatively more resources with which to communicate activist, and sometimes anti-corporate, messages; perhaps some of which are aimed at your employer. Ironic, isn’t it?
You may be thinking that since non-profit 501 (c) 3 organizations don’t pay any taxes at all, wouldn’t a better organizational strategy be to simply form under that tax-exempt, non-profit status, and have even more resources with which to operate? Not necessarily. I have two theories for which they may be organizing their corporation in this for-profit manner.
The first theory is that for-profit companies can do more in terms of backing political candidates, as we have seen, at least in part, from the recent U.S. Supreme Court decision in Citizens United vs. FEC. Non-profit corporations, i.e., 501 (c) 3 – tax-exempt organizations, because they do not pay taxes and in effect operate partially on implicit tax payer dollars, have many, many, restrictions on the backing of political candidates. Thus, for-profit activist groups can have a far greater impact on the political process, and by extension a greater effect on corporations, than can their non-profit activist group cousins, with all the anti-corporate effects that implies.
The second theory is that for-profit companies can raise funds in the private money market. Venture capitalists are often looking for new tech companies to invest in. And a tech-based company such as Change.org would represent a new vanguard of company, one with a differential advantage. This might increase their overall ability to attract funding, and make them not have to rely on the capriciousness of donations as would a non-profit corporation. Thereby, the possibility exists that this type of activist organization could be better financed than the non-profit variety.
Of course, these are all theories. If Change.org is not a for-profit corporation, I would certainly like to see them correct their “Entity Type” status on their Delaware corporate filing, as shown in the Part 1 post, so as to avoid further confusion.
What all this comes down to is, based on the evidence shown in both Parts 1 and 2, Change.org is a very formidable irregular competitor.
So, on the “Irregular Competition Threat Index,” a scale of 1 to 10 (10 being the highest threat level), I rate Change.org as a “9.” If this organization has your corporation in its activist sights, well then, you may need some help.

Because of these factors, economically, demographically, and psycho-graphically, social media are perfectly positioned for NGOs to leverage in their campaigns against business. Because of these reasons, and because NGOs are among the chief anti-corporate campaigners out there, companies want to know more about what these atypical competitors, these “
Slacktivism is a way for people to make themselves feel like they are advocating for a social cause, while actually committing little or no time or money to the effort. It’s, for the most part, a feel-good activity. Not only does slacktivism make individuals feel good about themselves when they sign up to be a friend, fan, or follower on the page of a cause’s website or social network or Twitter page, but the act of slacktivism impresses others with the individual’s “social awareness.” That impression, of which the individual is aware, further adds to the individual’s ego gratification.
From pages 148 to 149 Paul presents an interesting concept: that there will be an increase in activism because of the Baby Boom. He doesn’t say it in quite this way, but he does say that because of the aging of the U.S. population that there will be a decrease in the number of employees working for the American government. Paul hypothesizes, from the perspective of the publication year of 2005, that these retiring employees would likely not be replaced at a rate that would equal the attrition. The reason he gives is that government employment is not as attractive as that in the private sector, and that because of this handicap the attrition rate may exceed the replacement rate.
By now the controversy of Climate Gate (climategate) is well-publicized and even starting to simmer down somewhat. Simmer down in the media that is, but perhaps not in the hearts and minds of those deep in the fray and on either side of the issue. Perhaps at this point, the global warming activists are licking their wounds and contemplating a strategic change and a new approach to framing their campaign. And if they aren’t, they should be. Here’s why.


